True-Reject
0x204d498a65d7d1249cc8792d2fbbfee1c61208cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-201.61
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
900 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$900.00
$333.00
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
939 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$469.50
$0.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
756 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$226.80
$-68.04
- NO
Ramp IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.58
$0.46
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.50
$-4.00
- YES
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 20.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.35
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.05
- YES
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000?
1287 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-244.53
- OVER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
641 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-239.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$294.84Apr 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$140.40Apr 13, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$140.76Apr 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$4.83Apr 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$6.26Apr 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$0.44Apr 11, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$1.80Apr 10, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$207.27Apr 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$359.73Apr 8, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$296.78Apr 7, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$99.44Apr 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$469.50Apr 7, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?$4.00Apr 1, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$250.00Apr 1, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans$416.50Apr 1, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$763.00Apr 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5$144.69Mar 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$144.48Mar 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$220.16Mar 12, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLRippling IPO before 2027?$207.46Mar 10, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $155.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".