Dishonest-Reality
0x2053aacb09c211f325686667d5f18c9fab32b14a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1700 shares @ 54.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$365.50
$-558.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.75
$33.75
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.70
$12.70
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
1100 shares @ 32.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.50
$-209.50
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.50
$-106.50
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 80.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-800.99
- YES
Will BNB dip to $500 in June?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
700 shares @ 94.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-658.70
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
500 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-469.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $14.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.