Grateful-Washtub
0x2076caf19f798d55e1a401d241687acb148c4dc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$62.91
Realised
$5.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
527 shares @ 88.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$487.51
$22.57
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
371 shares @ 81.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.63
$23.81
- NO
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
300 shares @ 93.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.15
$0.45
- NO
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.38
$2.30
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$183.00
$3.00
- NO
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.50
$4.50
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.65
$0.66
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.34
$0.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$341.91Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$14.99Jun 4, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$249.99Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$100.00May 28, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?$91.00May 25, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$182.00May 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.71May 22, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$178.29May 22, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$86.00May 20, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$281.70May 20, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$230.99May 20, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$200.00May 20, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$200.00May 20, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$48.17Apr 30, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$44.83Apr 30, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$26.32Apr 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$97.00Apr 30, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$85.93Apr 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$86.07Apr 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$22.13Apr 28, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $96.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.