Disguised-Novel
0x20904494319fde11bf8716c569b861d0f4875629
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$439.97
Total PnL
$-802.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$90.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$53.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.50
$-17.50
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 12.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.65
$19.15
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.80
$-3.80
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1700 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.35
$-4.25
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$91.25Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$108.55Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.75Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$16.29Jun 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.52Jun 13, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$18.74Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$18.22Jun 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$2.04Jun 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$35.24Jun 11, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$25.23Jun 8, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$103.72Jun 8, 09:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.71Jun 7, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Jun 7, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $23.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.