Welcome-Victim
0x209e31212facf1aea8c64bd5da21cc8e5fe0970a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$95.95
Total PnL
$-0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$50.23Jul 7, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?$48.76Jul 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$17.15Jun 29, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$32.60Jun 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$0.29Jun 21, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$47.86Jun 21, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?$96.70Jun 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.73Jun 12, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$50.18Jun 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$49.93May 31, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat?$48.70May 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$22.12May 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$10.66May 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$19.38May 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$4.84May 28, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$8.20May 27, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$13.78May 27, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$50.13May 25, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$49.88May 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$15.50May 22, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.