Sparse-Cosset
0x2110ba2a1e18840109482ff4ddc547baeff45850
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$13.4K
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1085 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$9.64
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$944.95
$294.98
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1140 shares @ 23.2¢·now 61.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$703.37
$439.26
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 12, 2026?
700 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$699.65
$101.65
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
750 shares @ 66.0¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$664.88
$169.87
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
600 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$594.60
$150.60
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
1310 shares @ 38.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$589.46
$91.69
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?
2180 shares @ 7.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$534.14
$381.27
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
510 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$507.19
$6.88
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
540 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$499.50
$2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?$21.23Jun 13, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$350.00Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$9.13Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$4.69Jun 12, 23:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$12.90Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$1.54Jun 11, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$3.60Jun 11, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$22.95Jun 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$27.38Jun 11, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$0.72Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$8.04Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$6.03Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$0.96Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$7.20Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$4.68Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$3.51Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$5.40Jun 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?$7.25Jun 11, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $18.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.