Courageous-Porcupine
0x21537558f2454dea5cb65eca3403318847386848
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$186.27
Total PnL
$-18.1K
Realised
$468.04
Win rate
79%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
567 shares @ 20.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.87
$-26.13
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
904 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.50
$-8.59
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.80
$0.80
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
369 shares @ 5.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.30
$-11.70
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.30
$-28.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
3387 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
3166 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$70.00Jun 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$32.74May 29, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.67May 27, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$67.17May 27, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$49.03May 27, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.57May 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.56May 27, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.70May 27, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$17.10May 27, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$14.48May 27, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$7.03May 26, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$51.08May 23, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$32.40May 23, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$2.04May 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$48.00May 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.02May 23, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0.36May 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$41.60May 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$34.00May 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0.70May 23, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $41.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".