Direct-Yarn
0x21589728573b61b4d5d235f844267835a97fcf43
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
46
Open notional
$572.52
Total PnL
$-155.23
Realised
$-13.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
199 shares @ 25.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$56.68
$6.68
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
149 shares @ 33.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1786 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.36
$-4.64
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
450 shares @ 11.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.56
$-16.44
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
159 shares @ 18.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$31.04
$1.04
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
33 shares @ 59.8¢·now 87.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.08
$9.08
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1089 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.86
$3.86
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.39
$-23.61
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.33
$1.33
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
84 shares @ 23.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.32
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Scotland" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Alaska" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "My Father" or "My Mother" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Marble" or "Granite" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$8.725h ago
- YIELD$0.0116h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$20.002d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$10.003d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.003d ago
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$6.573d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$14.273d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$29.443d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.