Direct-Yarn
0x21589728573b61b4d5d235f844267835a97fcf43
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$121.83
Total PnL
$-292.73
Realised
$3.90
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
450 shares @ 11.1¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.70
$-22.30
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.39
$-23.61
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
329 shares @ 6.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.24
$1.24
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.24
$-6.76
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.09
$1.09
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
358 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
82 shares @ 12.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.24
$-5.76
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.36
$-16.64
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.63
$-0.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.13May 29, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.14May 29, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20.81May 29, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$20.17May 29, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $7.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.