Delayed-Vanadyl
0x215adbb63b47d0ca92f849fe2c2dc1adb0f6254c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.1K
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$95.35
Win rate
38%
144 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
4243 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.1K
$267.46
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
12487 shares @ 22.4¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.5K
$700.99
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2345 shares @ 58.2¢·now 75.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$398.20
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1478 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.4K
$31.77
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
2318 shares @ 68.1¢·now 47.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-481.36
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1040 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$33.82
- NO
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
1507 shares @ 62.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$911.54
$-33.32
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
763 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$756.62
$27.85
- NO
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
635 shares @ 72.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$492.04
$34.46
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
731 shares @ 71.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$409.27
$-116.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$16.38Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$4.50Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.6KJun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$114.00Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.26Jun 13, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$8.16Jun 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$2.85Jun 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$24.85Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.27Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.64Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.40Jun 13, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$1.28Jun 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$5.92Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.62Jun 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$26.52Jun 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$7.60Jun 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.00Jun 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$110.00Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$207.05Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $84.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 144 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.