Novel-Special
0x218c6007fa58b6dbd425cda48cfd7ab726fad154
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-5.23
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
1577 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.6K
$-0.79
- NO
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
144 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$142.64
$0.07
- NO
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
122 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$122.49
$0.49
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
101 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$100.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$41.10
$0.02
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.70
$-0.59
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10154 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.23
$-5.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$14.00
$0.03
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.43May 18, 10:59 UTC
- REWARD$0.30May 18, 10:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$47.97May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$50.00May 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$100.39May 17, 02:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.71May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$280.30May 16, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$13.97May 16, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$1.6KMay 16, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$142.64May 16, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$475.04May 16, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.10May 16, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 16, 03:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$33.76May 13, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $293.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".