Whispered-Memory
0x21d56e8490f2ec759bdee28cab14f335fd4b6afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$64.15
Total PnL
$-115.32
Realised
$-0.74
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
15 shares @ 38.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.84
$7.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?
5 shares @ 24.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.99
$3.79
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
18 shares @ 22.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.55
$0.54
- YES
Will South Africa be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
5 shares @ 83.5¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.03
$-0.14
- YES
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.73
$2.63
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-0.20
- YES
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$3.30
$-0.80
- YES
Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$2.97
$0.52
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.88
$0.03
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?$2.00Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?$25.00Jun 19, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?$5.00Jun 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.65Jun 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$0.60Jun 19, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.11Jun 19, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$1.10Jun 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.37Jun 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?$1.25Jun 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$1.00Jun 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.00Jun 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.60Jun 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.10Jun 19, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?$1.43Jun 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$1.93Jun 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?$0.54Jun 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?$1.00Jun 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?$1.19Jun 19, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.95Jun 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$1.00Jun 19, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.