Enraged-Drake-Ectodermal
0x21d5cfddf5d2e33586b0b879c510137ed09fb6d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$19.41
Total PnL
$-439.61
Realised
$-10.19
Win rate
2%
131 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$2.49
$0.59
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.19
$0.63
- NO
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.90
$-0.83
- YES
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$1.88
$0.03
- NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$1.81
$-0.06
- YES
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.59
$0.18
- YES
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-0.30
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.03
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.44
$-0.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.48Aug 5, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.55Aug 5, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?$1.57Aug 3, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$1.93Aug 2, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.14Aug 2, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.74Aug 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?$1.90Aug 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?$1.82Aug 2, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?$1.99Aug 2, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?$1.91Aug 2, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$1.46Aug 1, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$1.46Aug 1, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$1.96Aug 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?$1.79Aug 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$1.90Aug 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$6.45Aug 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.98Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$1.95Jul 31, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.11Jul 31, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 131 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
131 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 131 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.