Alive-Mouser-Arrogance
0x21dbd57fe0a01a386fd022a2c742593ae46a10f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$228.29
Total PnL
$-2.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$32.45
$7.45
- NO
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$24.56
$-0.89
- NO
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$16.13
$0.25
- NO
Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
11 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
11 shares @ 92.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$9.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.65
$-0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$10.02Jun 10, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$10.19Jun 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$10.01Jun 10, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$8.87Jun 10, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$5.02Jun 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.00Jun 8, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-06?$6.25Jun 8, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-06?$22.70Jun 8, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$6.88Jun 3, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-06?$20.07Jun 3, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-06?$5.03Jun 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.01Jun 1, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$32.23Jun 1, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$5.01Jun 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.20May 30, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4.97May 25, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$5.03May 24, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$4.53May 24, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$25.48May 22, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.34May 22, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $9.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.