Insubstantial-Railway
0x21f446c3c5532f1ebfacbd82a190a75fcffd81a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$980.77
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1750 shares @ 39.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$603.59
$-78.93
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
7933 shares @ 9.7¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$297.47
$-469.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
2154 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 26, 2026$79.71
$-10.77
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
96426 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
12201 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
12075 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
12054 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-899.76
- NO
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
10903 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 7?
7948 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?$0.38May 25, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?$90.10May 25, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$96.00May 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.51May 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.25May 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$24.16May 25, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.11May 25, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$26.47May 25, 08:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.39May 25, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.17May 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$30.00May 24, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$75.46May 24, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$0.50May 24, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$0.50May 24, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$0.25May 24, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$1.50May 24, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$0.25May 24, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$10.00May 24, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$0.20May 24, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?$0.90May 24, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $79.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".