Studious-Windchime
0x21ff16230285273f6097846437b46d35e97f5e2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.2K
Total PnL
$-57.1K
Realised
$32.4K
Win rate
73%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
6331 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.5K
$31.65
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
1871 shares @ 89.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.7K
$17.12
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
1244 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-18.74
- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5566 shares @ 52.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
767 shares @ 92.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$715.23
$3.14
- YES
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1963 shares @ 26.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$520.20
$-6.26
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2563 shares @ 7.7¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$480.55
$283.20
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2698 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$472.15
$148.39
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1337 shares @ 9.1¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$157.10
$35.54
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
33359 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$83.40
$-79.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in June?$2.62Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.8KJun 13, 11:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$10.00Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$12.00Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- MERGEWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?$13.00Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- MERGEWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$77.05Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.65Jun 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.8KJun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?$1.87Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$4.94Jun 13, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.52Jun 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$15.75Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$3.21Jun 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$410.90Jun 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$146.15Jun 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.04Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.46Jun 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.97Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$0.57Jun 13, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $186.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.