Speedy-Read
0x220f48ea3193d9d150347d1b2230d807197f44b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$73.34
Total PnL
$-187.41
Realised
$-8.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$34.68
$4.68
- NO
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$19.05
$11.05
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$14.33
$-35.67
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.49
$-5.51
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$0.08
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
219 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Cardano ETF in 2025?
120 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-77.42
- NO
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
25 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$8.14Jun 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$10.13May 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$30.34May 5, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$50.00Apr 7, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$99.60Mar 19, 14:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$99.00Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53.00Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$2.47Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 17, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 15, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 14, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 13, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 12, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 10, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 9, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 7, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $33.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.