Big-Hearted-Knowledge
0x22aa24b58b2db9a1966e7578c9f6edb79f2b0cae
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$46.77
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6347 shares @ 22.6¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.5K
$84.52
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
698 shares @ 43.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$443.02
$143.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10594 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.89
$-84.11
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8461 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.69
$-37.31
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
19757 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-43.98
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
15776 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-298.38
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-17.99
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
11752 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-324.47
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$309.13Jul 27, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$10.49Jul 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.25Jul 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.48Jul 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.48Jul 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.06Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$9.27Jul 9, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$10.48Jul 9, 20:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$8.24Jul 8, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$10.30Jul 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$694.20Jul 8, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$231.01Jul 8, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$181.47Jul 8, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$229.33Jul 7, 17:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.60Jul 4, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $153.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.