Distorted-Current
0x23483ad0a5dac45f24915f7a4351c8c2650bc794
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$964.29
Total PnL
$-3.68
Realised
$0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
1204 shares @ 71.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$860.58
$0.20
- NO
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?
45 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 1, 2027$37.57
$-1.13
- NO
Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31?
35 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$33.77
$2.23
- NO
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
28 shares @ 66.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$21.41
$2.94
- YES
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by July 31?
244 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.96
$1.46
- NO
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by July 31?$9.87Jul 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?$13.40Jul 19, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?$5.14Jul 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$28.23Jul 18, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$0.99Jul 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$59.36Jul 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$0.66Jul 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$13.45Jul 10, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$1.05Jul 10, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$5.52Jul 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$6.89Jul 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$7.59Jul 9, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?$60.67Jul 8, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?$1.27Jul 6, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?$34.59Jul 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivica Dačić win the next Serbia presidential election?$37.07Jul 6, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?$4.32Jul 6, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$3.15Jul 5, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$8.12Jul 3, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$6.50Jul 2, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.