0x23658ba00916b5751b8a3d6ddd88bd22dc6f4bfb
0x23658ba00916b5751b8a3d6ddd88bd22dc6f4bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$13.17
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7253 shares @ 6.1¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$595.95
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
7659 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-525.82
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
410 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-233.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
318 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-152.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
200 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
150 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-67.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-99.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $153.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.