Ultimate-Bread
0x23c8a9978a877359f1ea9953a91cfe29fe4ed20b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$40.84
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
26 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$25.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$15.07
$0.07
- BLUES
Blues vs. Sharks
2089 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
344 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 4?
18 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 4?
15 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$15.01Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.05Jun 4, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.15Jun 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$15.01May 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$1.02May 22, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-11.5)$10.07May 22, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 13?$11.76May 22, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 13?$10.10May 13, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMAuckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5$10.64May 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$11.58May 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$17.21May 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$20.20May 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$20.01May 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$11.04May 9, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAuckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5$10.02May 9, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 29?$15.08Apr 29, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on April 25?$10.17Apr 29, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET$10.19Apr 29, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$35.23Apr 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$35.00Apr 25, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $20.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".