Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?

• 01
  Price move

  Up 37pp over 24h

  Now 88¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Volume pressure

  Heavy volume on this book — 1.7× turnover

  $51.1k traded against $30.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

• 03
  Active signal

  Momentum signal firing

  Probability moved up 37.0pp in 24h with 1.7× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 04
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 7h.

• 05
  Resolution proximity

  Expiry in 7h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

• BUYDOWN
  Linear-Sparerib$5.00@ 13¢
  11s ago

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 28 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 29 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.