Candid-Nougat
0x23e920c43cd92fef1752452549feb67d20ddec32
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$93.09
Total PnL
$-15.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$93.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 28?
1215 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 26?
890 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?
743 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?$93.01Jun 8, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$92.18Jun 8, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$92.01Jun 2, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 23?$92.09Jun 2, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 23?$92.01May 23, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$92.18May 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$92.01May 19, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.09May 19, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.00May 13, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.09May 13, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.00May 7, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?$1.07May 7, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$93.19May 7, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$93.01May 5, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.05May 5, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.05May 5, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$95.09May 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$95.00Apr 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?$1.60Apr 26, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?$96.09Apr 26, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $73.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.