Unequaled-Tone
0x243022c200d3036bcf3108006e057c48b95f507f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.06
Total PnL
$-353.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?
16321 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1403 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Trump out as President by May 31?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
861 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?
674 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
519 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
182 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
112 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$18.33Jul 20, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$20.00Jul 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$11.22Jul 18, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$12.94Jun 21, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$17.24Jun 21, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?$20.83Jun 21, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 12, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$5.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$5.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?$5.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$6.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$5.00May 7, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?$6.00May 7, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$14.83May 7, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$16.67May 7, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$20.00Apr 28, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$10.00Apr 28, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.