Distant-Golf
0x2432d351ede907c2c333d73c7cfc14a819177fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$198.19
Total PnL
$-26.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
103 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$103.01
$18.01
- NO
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
53 shares @ 46.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$53.30
$28.30
- NO
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
29 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.38
$2.38
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
13 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$12.50
$0.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
23 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
20 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.30
- NO
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
16 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$85.59Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$25.40Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.39Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$27.07Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$12.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$16.58Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.61Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$20.48Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$39.53Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $35.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.