Rare-Extinction
0x24488d593d2a2c44109b1cd162dfc394a64e373c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$121.64
Total PnL
$-643.33
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1049 shares @ 29.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$120.65
$-192.10
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-25.50
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
70 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.49
$-13.93
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1500 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-297.99
- NO
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
800 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
638 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- YES
Will Pacto Histórico win 30+ seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
395 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.76
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
145 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.88Jun 8, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.03Jun 2, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.04Jun 2, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 2, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.60Jun 2, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.59Jun 2, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.48Jun 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.03Jun 2, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.60Jun 2, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 2, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 2, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.60Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$41.28Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jun 2, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$44.25May 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21.83May 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.10May 27, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$44.25May 27, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.