Hopeful-Horn
0x2454ab4c3d60ab468555c03f7d11ce1a4fd6ac6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$17.33
Total PnL
$-3.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays lose the World Series?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Feb 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?$1.00Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Jan 28, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 5, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$1.00Dec 24, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.00Dec 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Myles Garrett win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?$1.00Dec 9, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.00Nov 26, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$1.00Nov 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$1.00Nov 12, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Nov 5, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 29, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays lose the World Series?$1.00Oct 22, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?$1.00Oct 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.08Oct 8, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $190 on September 28?$1.11Oct 8, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-21?$1.27Oct 8, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?$1.00Oct 8, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $190 on September 28?$1.00Sep 24, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".