Elegant-Staff
0x2458489f779c836fc773135d81b08ead95ccf8e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-776.03
Realised
$72.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
15000 shares @ 43.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$6.4K
$-205.35
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$605.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$332.00
$-75.81
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.48
$23.51
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$20.60
$-39.40
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.00
$-131.65
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
150 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-11.25
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$619.52Jun 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.24Jun 11, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 11, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.56Jun 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.47Jun 11, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$4.5KJun 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$10.0KJun 11, 03:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$7.39Jun 2, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $166.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.