Arctic-Flesh
0x245cdd611f6ae64616e5b46cd3b4897af77faada
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$202.70
Total PnL
$-4.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
54 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.70
$-0.19
- NO
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.46
$-0.80
- NO
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
53 shares @ 97.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.43
$-1.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
53 shares @ 98.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.11
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.03Jun 5, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $400M one day after launch?$49.23Jun 5, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?$51.89Jun 2, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$52.00Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$51.38May 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.99May 28, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$52.26May 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$51.89May 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$51.99May 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$51.04May 22, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$0.68May 19, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$46.87May 19, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$2.96May 19, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$50.35May 19, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$51.57May 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?$51.83May 19, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$20.73May 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$20.52May 5, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$21.18Apr 29, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$20.99Mar 18, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $159.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.