Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
Probability
36¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$327.52
Liquidity
$21.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 862.2h
- 01:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 862h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:45PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 38¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 38¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 38¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 38¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).