Second-Clause
0x24ded12731ffc9ff7ed6fc7bb8b0bc2520e3aa04
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$16.82
Total PnL
$-4.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.34
$0.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.84
$0.79
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.76
$0.01
- NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.74
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.74
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.74
$0.00
- NO
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.52
$0.00
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.38
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.23
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?$1.05Jul 14, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?$1.85Jul 11, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.52Jul 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?$1.85Jul 10, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.52Jul 10, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on July 6?$1.54Jul 6, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on July 6?$1.54Jul 5, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by June 30?$1.24Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?$1.04Jun 29, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$1.24Jun 29, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?$1.43Jun 14, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?$1.38Jun 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?$1.43Jun 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?$1.37Jun 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?$2.34May 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.37May 9, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.71Apr 30, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.75Apr 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on April 30?$1.74Apr 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.74Apr 15, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.