Troubled-Longitude
0x24efa724fdd1feb7c509ddd36ae4675455aaba00
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$42.52
Total PnL
$1.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.34
$1.06
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.02
$0.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.01
$-0.01
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.01
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.06
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.04
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by July 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.01
$-0.00
- NO
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$1.02Jul 1, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.02Jul 1, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.02Jul 1, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?$0.70Jul 1, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMIran coup attempt by June 30?$7.28Jul 1, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.