0x250912caf11a271e2e94896dcccf004842cf4892
0x250912caf11a271e2e94896dcccf004842cf4892
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$19.11
Total PnL
$-20.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$16.67
$15.67
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 15.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- INFERNO DRIVE TOKYO
LoL: Inferno Drive Tokyo vs L Guide Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group B
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UWINKS
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group A
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
544 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Mar 10, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Mar 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Mar 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$1.00Mar 10, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (W)$1.00Mar 10, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 10, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$1.00Mar 10, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group A$1.00Mar 2, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Inferno Drive Tokyo vs L Guide Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group B$1.00Mar 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$2.00Mar 2, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$2.00Mar 2, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Mar 1, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by March 15? $1.00Mar 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.00Mar 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$2.00Mar 1, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.