Menacing-Manager
0x2512c59909b5f6b639750655e8e9c911a2da601f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$28.61
Total PnL
$-52.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.56
$1.56
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.79
$-0.21
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 12.7¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?
11 shares @ 18.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on May 29?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.75
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.13May 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$10.00May 28, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.07May 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Air Force Academy Address?$1.04May 27, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.00May 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?$2.00May 27, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$2.10May 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?$1.04May 27, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?$2.08May 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C or higher on May 29?$1.05May 27, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on May 29?$2.09May 27, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?$2.07May 27, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$77.72May 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$26.05May 27, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$9.62May 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.17May 27, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.28May 27, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$26.32May 27, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.28May 27, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.94May 27, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".