Beautiful-Cluster
0x252b5ac7fcbded844cb176048acc9d17629a50d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$20.6K
Total PnL
$600.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
4000 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.0K
$124.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
3500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$101.50
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
2000 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$50.00
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$66.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.9K
$795.00
- NO
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
1600 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.6K
$11.20
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10424 shares @ 10.4¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$213.69
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3500 shares @ 38.4¢·now 23.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$838.25
$-505.75
- NO
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
810 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$810.00
$19.89
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1114 shares @ 86.5¢·now 71.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$795.70
$-168.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.