Weak-Keyboard
0x253b40c66e130abc667e4be85f9e5844941398d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-221.98
Realised
$23.06
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
942 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$930.08
$8.07
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
830 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$37.78
$2.97
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
32 shares @ 71.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$24.80
$2.08
- NO
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
40 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$24.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
22 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$19.24
$0.66
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
526 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.09
$-3.68
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
47 shares @ 29.7¢·now 35.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$16.35
$2.47
- YES
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
30 shares @ 29.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$13.35
$4.65
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
400 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.20
$-4.60
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
138 shares @ 1.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.47
$3.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$551.53May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.05May 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.54May 16, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.57May 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$98.65May 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$27.01May 16, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$196.91May 16, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$0.00May 15, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$0.00May 15, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$20.00May 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$16.00May 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$1.08May 14, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.40May 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48May 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$5.80May 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.20May 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.03May 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.07May 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.06May 11, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$8.70May 10, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $49.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".