Quaint-Cotton
0x254816b9e08ad87dd1062d647e926874fbd135e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
XRP all time high before October?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Utah Archers win the 2025 PLL Championship?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "White House" or "Ballroom" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$9.97Apr 2, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$9.26Apr 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$9.26Mar 24, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$8.10Mar 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$8.10Feb 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$8.78Feb 27, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.01Feb 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?$0.21Feb 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$8.56Feb 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$9.02Feb 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.20Feb 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?$0.32Feb 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLParamount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?$0.44Feb 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$0.56Feb 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$0.61Feb 12, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$0.88Feb 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$0.96Feb 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid a crypto hedge fund blow up?$1.00Feb 12, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$0.94Feb 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 10, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".