Graceful-Blowhole
0x255228f222cff4dd60acfaf391941b59770d73d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$805.94
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$54.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
3800 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$361.00
$19.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
950 shares @ 28.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$209.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
1628 shares @ 21.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$154.66
$-196.68
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
742 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.27
$-13.44
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5572 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.93
$-114.23
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.50
$-198.50
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4228 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.57
$-61.30
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
15172 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-238.79
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
7557 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.63
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
5066 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-535.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$342.00Jun 9, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$142.37Jun 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.00Jun 9, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$78.62Jun 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$26.78Jun 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.05Jun 6, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.12Jun 6, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.72Jun 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.49Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.34Jun 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.08Jun 6, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.56Jun 6, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.03Jun 6, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.14Jun 6, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $24.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.