0x25d41aaac37cd0812649ba739197356362607915
0x25d41aaac37cd0812649ba739197356362607915
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
133
Open notional
$582.41
Total PnL
$582.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$203.72
$203.72
- YES
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.00
$90.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$60.00
- YES
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$60.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
65 shares @ 0.0¢·now 78.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.96
$50.96
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.50
$40.50
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
250 shares @ 0.0¢·now 7.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.12
$19.12
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
250 shares @ 0.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.25
$12.25
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$10.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.30
$9.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$110.00Apr 11, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?$125.00Apr 4, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$200.00Apr 4, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$200.00Mar 20, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.0KMar 20, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$140.00Mar 10, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$715.00Mar 6, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?$85.00Mar 2, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$680.00Mar 2, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?$140.00Feb 19, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?$230.00Feb 19, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?$305.00Feb 19, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$254.00Feb 18, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$1.7KFeb 17, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-14?$56.00Feb 16, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-14?$65.00Feb 16, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?$75.00Feb 16, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$80.00Feb 16, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?$1.3KFeb 16, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$70.00Feb 13, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.