UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Probability

10¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$14.89

Liquidity

$10.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 12:00Apr 26, 2026, 08:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 6.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1568.7h

    LOW
  • 08:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.3pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.

Biggest hourly move: +5.8pp at 3d ago (to 14¢).

Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · -4.0pp → 10¢
  • 15:00 · -3.9pp → 10¢
  • 09:00 · -3.9pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · -4.6pp → 10¢
  • 3d ago · +4.2pp → 12¢
  • 3d ago · +5.8pp → 14¢
  • 3d ago · +5.0pp → 13¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (6.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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