0x25ef76a8b721b96a77ca46e5b275ccf4431bd2c5
0x25ef76a8b721b96a77ca46e5b275ccf4431bd2c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$420.30
Total PnL
$280.95
Realised
$-8.43
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
276 shares @ 26.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$276.34
$202.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
112 shares @ 27.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.91
$81.16
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
10 shares @ 26.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.35
$7.59
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 85.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.77
$1.22
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.36
$0.66
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
3 shares @ 53.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.30
$1.52
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.28
$0.18
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
18 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
5 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$1.10Jun 20, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.04Jun 20, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.00Jun 20, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.