Proper-Maple
0x260d13a4c27f7edf65b07248a015ccc26ac5fbc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-369.90
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3800 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$29.40
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
340 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$323.51
$-5.79
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
253 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.55
$-16.45
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
380 shares @ 63.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$191.90
$-50.30
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
192 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$153.33
$13.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
140 shares @ 78.3¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.20
$20.60
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.76
$5.76
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.99
$4.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
179 shares @ 86.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$90.31
$-63.40
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.50
$4.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$100.00Jul 27, 10:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $51.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.