Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.1h
- 10:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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