Deserted-Pavilion
0x261a501095f252ca187db02202501601754ed184
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-579.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
521 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$520.83
$20.83
- YES
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
653 shares @ 81.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$519.48
$-10.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
488 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$487.80
$87.81
- YES
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
703 shares @ 14.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$137.09
$37.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.85
$-5.05
- JAZZ
Nets vs. Jazz
849 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- WARRIORS
76ers vs. Warriors
283 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
133 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$30.17May 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$102.57May 29, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$502.83May 29, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$500.00May 29, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$75.54May 29, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$804.02May 29, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.0KMay 29, 21:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.39May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$695.93May 12, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$53.21May 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$800.20May 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$499.00May 9, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$499.00May 9, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$47.55May 9, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$151.85May 9, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $163.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.