Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Probability
19¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$97.40
Liquidity
$775.01
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1460.7h
- 03:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1461h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 16¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 17¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 17¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 15¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 15¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 14¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 20¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 16¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 18¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 18¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 16¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).