0x264b8b96d15b0ed2b388d0f96712bd17886ead71
0x264b8b96d15b0ed2b388d0f96712bd17886ead71
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
147
Open notional
$31.19
Total PnL
$-408.98
Realised
$-107.08
Win rate
2%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 147- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 83.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.01
$0.03
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.23
$-0.01
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 89.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.95
$-0.00
- NO
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
2 shares @ 10.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
15 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
12 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
12 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
12 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$8.40Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$8.00Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$4.62Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$4.48Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$9.00Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.02Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$3.29Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.96Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$6.26Jun 13, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$6.00Jun 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.80Jun 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$6.43Jun 13, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$9.00Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$9.00Jun 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$6.30Jun 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$3.20Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.