Tattered-Childbirth
0x264d771891838edb443cb2d39fc4aa1bb58a6f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.7K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-827.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
7908 shares @ 80.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.4K
$-906.78
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
4088 shares @ 32.2¢·now 31.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.3K
$-23.47
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
271 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.28
$-7.72
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
119940 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-380.21
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
1540 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-285.69
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
1394 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
924 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-541.91
- YES
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
243 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-159.00
- YES
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US add at least 250k jobs in April?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$41.53Jun 8, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.88Jun 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$33.66Jun 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.02Jun 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$102.36Jun 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$20.90Jun 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$124.36Jun 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$247.84Jun 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$228.41Jun 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$104.58Jun 8, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$208.36Jun 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$333.08Jun 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$53.39Jun 3, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$52.83Jun 3, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$111.19Jun 3, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$112.07Jun 3, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$22.96Jun 3, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$207.98Jun 3, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$229.87Jun 3, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$245.04Jun 3, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $136.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.