0x26600f126f4ff10fa386189347564d631360134a
0x26600f126f4ff10fa386189347564d631360134a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$160.94
Total PnL
$-27.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 22.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.66
$-12.03
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.23
$0.71
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.35
$1.36
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 31.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.82
$0.89
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
11 shares @ 76.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.73
$0.74
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.67
$0.57
- NO
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
13 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.39
$0.33
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
14 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
14 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.62
$-0.36
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.57
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$7.84Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.92Jun 13, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$14.25Jun 12, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$12.90Jun 12, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?$1.98Jun 12, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$7.87Jun 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.00Jun 11, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$6.08Jun 8, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$6.41Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$6.00Jun 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$9.14Jun 4, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$11.15Jun 2, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 1, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$8.15May 31, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.