0x26cd9b4b73a87c1ce1437adde4f1c2587d47fcd9
0x26cd9b4b73a87c1ce1437adde4f1c2587d47fcd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$241.95
Total PnL
$52.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
180 shares @ 83.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$180.00
$29.96
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$50.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$11.95
$2.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$62.50Mar 4, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$30.70Mar 3, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$50.00Mar 3, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$19.29Feb 28, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$50.00Feb 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$9.68Feb 26, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$20.84Feb 23, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$5.60Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitBoy convicted?$2.16Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.60Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.40Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift pregnant before 2027?$3.60Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$10.20Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$69.92Feb 23, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.48Feb 23, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.