Joint-Threshold
0x26d961f79455887cd1f50ea78dce80429cdaea94
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$3.67
Total PnL
$-31.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 16.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$-0.23
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- SABALENKA
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: December
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.03May 20, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.79May 12, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrov$1.00Mar 17, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.44Mar 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)$1.00Mar 3, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coward" in March?$1.00Mar 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$1.00Mar 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)$2.00Mar 2, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Mar 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Feb 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 27, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.23Feb 19, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8)$1.82Feb 19, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill "UFC" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$0.00Feb 5, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?$1.00Feb 4, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "UFC" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$0.00Feb 4, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill "UFC" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$1.49Feb 4, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevic$1.00Feb 4, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$3.00Feb 3, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 00:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".