Focused-Carpenter
0x26f1c2d8413a7c5dd4b006a72677bef4c3d1d56b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-298.49
Realised
$-3.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?
879 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
494 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
418 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
285 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
133 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$10.00Jun 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$5.00Apr 23, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$14.56Apr 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$30.00Apr 20, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?$0.00Apr 19, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$30.00Apr 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?$50.00Apr 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$0.01Apr 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?$20.00Apr 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?$30.00Apr 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 16, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$76.50Apr 16, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$15.00Apr 15, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $45.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.